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NFL Week 11 Best Bets: Dolphins vs. Broncos Odds, Stats and Predictions

Miami Dolphins vs. Denver Broncos NFL best bets, odds and picks

At the onset of the betting on NFL season were hopes for the Dolphins future.  Top draft pick Tua Tagovailoa is a superstar in the making.  Miami wisely held him out of the lineup early on.  He has started the Dolphins last two games.  While winning both of them.  Much like his days at Alabama does Tua offers unique advantages.  Tagovailoa is one of the more exotic quarterbacks in recent memory.  So too is he one of the most successful.  Denver quarterback Drew Lock must be envious.  His career is imploding because he’s getting no help from a terrible team.

Miami Dolphins vs. Denver Broncos Betting Information

Date: Sunday, November 22, 2020
Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
Location: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, Colorado
TV Coverage: CBS

Miami Dolphins vs. Denver Broncos Betting Odds

Team SP/RL TOTAL ML
Dolphins -4 (-111) 45 (-105) -210
Broncos +4 (-109) 45 (-115) +176
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Miami Dolphins at Denver Broncos CashBet Wagering Analysis

Of great concern to sharps is the public making Miami a Super Bowl best bet.  This may be a case of too much too soon.

Things Go Swimmingly for the Dolphins  

Sunday the Dolphins beat the Chargers 29-21 as 1.5-point home favorites.   Also, did the game clear the total of 49.  Miami is one of the hottest teams on the board with five consecutive covers.  As a result, they’re 6-3 straight up, 7-2 against the spread, and 4-5 under the total. Miami ranks 29th for total offense and ninth for scoring.  Defensively the Dolphins rank 19th for yards permitted and fifth for points allowed.  Accordingly, Miami has triggered Betting on Super Bowl handle.

Namely, Tua Tagovailoa has shown well as the new starting quarterback.  Tua has a 104.8 QB rating with five touchdown passes and no interceptions.  Against the Chargers, Tagovailoa threw for 169 yards and two touchdowns.

Broncos Busting Bankrolls as No Lock

Last week Denver lost at the Raiders 37-12 as 3.5-point road dogs.  Under the total of 50 saw the cashier’s cage too.  Denver has failed to cover three of their last four games.  Now they are 3-6 straight up, 5-4 against the spread, and 5-4 over the total.  NFL metrics show the Broncos 26th offensively and 28th for scoring.  Defensively the Broncos are 17th overall and 26th for points allowed.

Second-year quarterback Drew Lock has a rating of just 66.5 with seven touchdown passes and 10 interceptions.  Pro football betting pressure is eating at Lock.  In the loss at Las Vegas, he was intercepted four times. Also, did he lose his composure two weeks ago in a loss at Atlanta.

Miami Dolphins at Denver Broncos Against the Spread

Denver has gone 20-19-1 against the spread in all games.  While in AFC games the Broncos are 15-15 on the board.  At Empower Field Denver has covered the spread in just nine of their last 20 games.  Further, at home, they’re 7-13 under the total.  In all games, the Broncos are 15-24-1 to the under.  And in AFC matchups the Broncos are 9-20-1 under the total.

Overall, the Dolphins are 23-17 against the spread in all games.  On the road, the Fish are 10-10 on the board. And then in AFC matchups, Miami is 17-11 vs. the odds.  Miami is 20-20 over and under.  The Dolphins are 9-11 to the under away from home.  Specifically, in AFC games the Fish are 13-15 under the total.

Miami has owned their online sportsbook series with the Broncos.  Consider the Dolphins have covered 10 of their last 12 meetings against Denver.  Three of the last five meetings between Miami and the Broncos have gone over the total.  Accordingly, at Denver, the Dolphins have come away with the cash in their last five visits.

Miami Dolphins at Denver Broncos CashBet Free Pick  

Denver is on nobody’s radar with the Super Bowl betting odds.  Correlate that Miami is catching too much public betting attention.  In turn, the Broncos will offer enhanced contrarian value.

Dolphins at Broncos CashBet Best Bet: 

Denver Broncos

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