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Bucs Host Bills in Potential Sunday Super Bowl Preview

Buffalo Bills at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Against the Spread

At the beginning of the season, the Buccaneers and Bills were hot properties on the futures market.  Tampa Bay stunned football with a Super Bowl best upset of the Chiefs.  But that win made the Buccaneers far too “public” with gamblers.  To illuminate, a flood of square money has drowned gamblers in red ink.  Counter to that is a Buffalo team in the black.  But the Bills aren’t finishing their games on the field.  Even with some of the best metrics in the NFL.  Despite their respective woes, a Bills vs. Bucs Super Bowl wouldn’t surprise anyone.

Buffalo Bills vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Information

Date: Sunday, December 12, 2021
Time: 4:25 pm ET
Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida
TV Coverage: CBS

Bills vs. Buccaneers Betting Odds

Team SP/RL TOTAL ML
Bills +3 ( EV ) 53½ ( -110 ) +145
Buccaneers -3 ( -120 ) 53½ ( -110 ) -170
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Buffalo Bills at Tampa Bay Buccaneers CashBet Wagering Analysis

On the whole, Tampa Bay is too popular with casual gamblers.  Since their Super Bowl upset of Kansas City, the Buccaneers have become a perpetual Online Sportsbook overlay.

Buffalo Pays the Bills Despite Inconsistency on the Field

Late on, the Bills have paid in only two of their last seven games.  Four of their previous six matchups went under the total.  Second place to New England in the AFC North belongs to Buffalo.

Last Monday, the Bills lost to New England 14-10 as 3-point home favorites.  Buffalo and the Patriots went under the Betting on Super Bowl total of 41.  As a result, Buffalo is 7-5 straight up, 6-5-1 against the spread, and 5-7 over/under.  NFL metrics show the Bills ranked 9th for total offense and 5th for scoring offense.  Defensively, Buffalo has NFL ranks of 1st overall and 2nd for points allowed.

Tampa Not Making Bucs After Surprise Super Bowl Title

For all that early-season bad value, Tampa Bay has posted three consecutive payouts. And then the Bucs have gone under in three of their most recent four games.  Tampa Bay is running away with the NFC South.

The Buccaneers are coming off a 30-17 payout over the Falcons as 11-point road favorites.  Also, the Bucs and Falcons game went under the Super Bowl betting odds total of 51.  As a result, Tampa Bay is 9-3 straight up, 6-6 against the spread, and 6-6 over/under the total.  NFL metrics show the Bucs 2nd for total offense and 1st for scoring offense.  NFL defensive rankings show Tampa Bay 10th overall and 17th for points allowed.

Buffalo Bills at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Against the Spread

On the road, Buffalo is 57% against the spread.  While as an underdog, the Bills are 57% vs. the odds.  In non-conference action, Buffalo is 90% against the spread.

As an away team, the Bills are 61% over the total.  Overall, as an underdog, Buffalo is 85% over the total.  And in non-conference games, the Bills are 83% over the total.

At home, Tampa Bay is 71% against the spread.  While as a favorite, the Buccaneers are 48% vs. the odds.  In non-conference action, Tampa Bay is 75% against the spread.  Tampa Bay is 50% over/under the total as a home team.  Overall, as a favorite, the Buccaneers are 60% over/under the total.  And in non-conference games, Tampa Bay is 50% over/under the total.

Buffalo is 1-6-1 against the spread vs. Tampa Bay.  Also, the Bills and Buccaneers are 3-4 over/under the total.  Specifically, at Tampa Bay, Buffalo is 0-6 vs. the Super Bowl betting odds against the Buccaneers.  Further, these two teams are 1-4 over/under the total at Tampa Bay.

Buffalo Bills at Tampa Bay Buccaneers CashBet Free Pick  

On the whole, the Bills have the NFL gambling metrics of a serious contender.  Of great concern is Tampa Bay’s lack of reliability on the board in 2021.  Sharps love nothing more than a quality road dog.  Cause by the maximum value such plays can offer.

Bills at Buccaneers CashBet Best Bet: 

Buffalo Bills

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