At the onset of the 2020 season was their excitement about the Dolphins. Miami finished strong in a meaningless end of season 2019 games. Head coach Brian Flores was commended for having a team that didn’t quit. First-round draft pick Tua Tagovailoa sent anticipation over the top. But the new season spotlight has made Miami wilt. Problems caused over the past several NFL betting seasons can’t be immediately fixed. Further, the Dolphins refuse to rush Tagovailoa into the lineup. Thursday the plucky Jacksonville Jaguars host Miami. This Battle of Florida will be broadcast on the NFL Network.
Miami Dolphins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Information
Miami Dolphins at Jacksonville Jaguars CashBet Wagering Analysis
To begin with, the Dolphins have turned off much of the top online sportsbook public. Ryan Fitzpatrick is not a quarterback that inspires faith. Or draws betting handle. Miami’s 0-2 start reminds gamblers of why they have long avoided the Fish. Counter to that is a Jaguars team that intrigues gamblers. Quarterback Garner Minshew is popular with the public. Sharps like Jacksonville’s fight and work ethic. Of course, neither team is a public favorite. Nor a name brand at the betting window. But Miami has long disgusted gamblers for its utter ineptitude. From this point, they seem overhyped.
More of the Same from Miami
In sum, Miami is 0-2 straight up, 1-1 with the odds, and 1-1 on totals. Week two saw the Dolphins lose their home opener to Buffalo 31-28. Miami was a 5.5-point betting on the NFL home dog. The game went over the total of 42.5. Overall NFL metrics have Miami ranked 30th for total defense. And 26th for scoring offense. Fitzpatrick has a 67.8 quarterback rating. He’s averaging 6.7 yards per pass.
Jaguars Try to Defy Gravity Again
Now the Jaguars have a pro football betting record of 1-1 straight up and 2-0 against the spread. Both of their games went over the total. Last week Jacksonville covered a 33-30 loss at Tennessee as 7-point dogs. Over a total of 44.5 paid too. Jacksonville ranks 20th in the NFL for total offense but 10th for scoring. While on defense they rate 23rd overall and 19th for points allowed. Minshew has a 78.8 quarterback rating. And a six to two touchdown to interception ratio. He is averaging over 7.9 yards per passing attempt.
Miami Dolphins at Jacksonville Jaguars Against the Spread
Specifically, as a football betting road dog of 4-points or less Miami is 3-7 vs. the odds. In that role, the Dolphins are 5-2 over the total. Miami has failed to pay in their last five games at the NFC. Nine of their last 12 in that situation went under. So too is Miami 2-6 on the board in September away games. Seven of the Dolphins last eight September away games went under.
In like manner, the Jaguars are 1-6 on the board as home chalk of 4-points or less. Four of their last seven in that way stayed under. Jacksonville has paid in five of their last seven at home vs. the AFC. While four of their last five in that role went over. In September home games the Jaguars are 7-3 vs. the odds. Seven of their last 10 as home chalk cleared the total.
Last time as a dog at Jacksonville Miami covered the spread. And that game went under the total. However, Jacksonville has won and covered the two most recent meetings. Six of the last seven in this series stayed under.
Miami Dolphins at Jacksonville Jaguars CashBet Free Pick
As was previously noted the Jaguars are not good NFL gambling values as small home chalk. Jacksonville is a team that exceeds its metrics. Miami makes a good contrarian pick here.
Dolphins at Jaguars CashBet Best Bet:
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