NFL Week 1 Best Bets: Dolphins vs. Patriots Latest Odds and Analysis

Last year was a difficult one for Patriots coach Bill Belichick.  The Hoodie saw his former quarterback, Tom Brady, escape to Tampa Bay and win a Super Bowl.  Meanwhile, New England had no answers as a former Super Bowl best bet.  Cam Newton was not the answer as Tom Brady’s replacement.  However, Newton faced the same problems as the GOAT did in his final season under Belichick.  New England had a poor supporting cast that couldn’t make plays.  This year Newton is gone, and rookie sensation Mac Jones takes over under center.   Tua Tagovailoa and Miami visit on Sunday.

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots CashBet Wagering Analysis

Commencing with Mac Jones taking over as quarterback are the Patriots drawing online sportsbook support.  Bill Belichick still commands respect with the gambling public.  And there is a sense that Jones is a much better fit for New England than Newton was.  Further, gamblers and fans are encouraged by Belichick’s personnel upgrades on offense.  Preseason is not to be taken too seriously, but the Patriots sparked many highlight videos.  There is the sense that New England has nowhere to go but up after 2020.

Last season the Dolphins were a near-miss for the AFC Playoffs.  Miami responded well to then-rookie quarterback Tua Tagovailoa.  But the Dolphins proved to be much more than just their QB.  Gamblers were impressed with Miami’s unique brand of complementary football.  Head coach Brian Flores is improving both sides of the line.  Thus, gamblers see potential good value with the Dolphins.  Offsetting that is the Wise Guys’ concern that Miami will draw too much attention.  Their surprise element is gone from 2020.

Dolphins Looking for Playoff Campaign

Second, to Buffalo is the current public betting on Super Bowl expectation for the Dolphins.  A wild card playoff spot is quite possible.  Tua is not expected to carry the entire team.  As a result of this complimentary football, Miami is taken seriously as a contender.

The Hoodie Orders a Big Mac to Spark Attack

At the onset of the 2021 NFL Draft, Mac Jones was expected to go in the top five.  However, Jones was passed up for flashier quarterbacks in those early slots.  But it may have been the best thing that happened to him.  New England’s style of offense is a perfect fit for Jones to succeed with the Super Bowl betting odds.

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots Against the Spread

In sum, the Dolphins are 56% against the spread in away games.  As underdogs, Miami is 64% vs. the odds.  In AFC East action, the Dolphins are 67% vs. the line.

Miami is 50% over and under in away games.  While as underdogs, the Dolphins are 52% over the total.  In AFC East matchups, Miami is 50% over and under.

New England is 50% against the spread at Gillette Stadium.  Specifically, as a favorite, the Patriots are 45% vs. the odds.  And in AFC East matchups, the Patriots are 56% on the board.  At home, New England is 65% under the total.  While as chalk, the Patriots are 65% to the under.  And in AFC East matchups, New England is 50% over and under.

Overall, Miami has covered four of their most recent seven games with the Patriots.  Five of those seven games stayed under the total.  At New England, the Pats are 8-1 on the board against the Fish.  Three of the previous five in this rivalry at New England stayed under the NFL betting total.

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots CashBet Free Pick  

In this situation, the Patriots make the most NFL gambling sense.  Spirits are high regarding the team remake.  As mentioned earlier, the Dolphins struggle to get the cash at New England.

Dolphins at Patriots CashBet Best Bet: 

New England Patriots