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Falling Saints Face Potential Trap vs. Lions on NFL Betting Week 4

New Orleans Saints vs. Detroit Lions betting NFL, odds and picks

The Lions have long succeeded at wins that spark false hope.  Last week was a classic example of that.   Detroit traveled to the hot new NFL betting property Cardinals.  Arizona was favored as the Lions were given no chance.  Yet they left the desert with their first win of the season.  With numerous poor metrics, Detroit’s win was like a pause before the inevitable.  But for Lions fans, it sparks the hope of a potential turnaround. Now the Lions return home to Ford Field to host a Saints team falling fast.  Drew Brees and the Saints lack game-breakers.

New Orleans Saints vs. Detroit Lions Betting Information

Date: Sunday, October 4, 2020
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Location: Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
TV Coverage: FOX

New Orleans Saints vs. Detroit Lions Betting Odds

Saints -4 (-110) 54 (-110) -215
Lions +4 (-110) 54 (-110) +180
Place Bets

New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions CashBet Wagering Analysis

On this occasion, the public may be turning on the Saints.  Two consecutive high-profile best sportsbook online losses scare squares.  Detroit may have some public cache as a home dog.  Especially when coming off an impressive win.  Sharps may be split into the two teams. New Orleans is getting a price break after two losses.  But the Lions are often seen as live home pups.  Even in their worst days, Detroit is known as dangerous home dogs that can pay.

Saints Go Limping in

The Saints have betting on NFL record of 1-2 both straight up and against the spread.  And then all three of their games cleared the total.  New Orleans is coming off a 37-30 loss to Green Bay as 3.5-point home chalks.  Also did over a total of 52 pay.  So too was it the NBC Sunday Night Football showcase.

New Orleans has NFL offensive metrics of 18th overall, 12th for passing, 23rd for rushing, 10th for scoring, and eighth for turnovers.  Defensively the Saints rank 10th overall, 20th for pass defense, sixth for rushing defense, 28th for points allowed, and 22nd for takeaways.

Of major concern is the lack of a breakaway wide receiver for Brees. Opposing defenses are jamming the short routes.  New Orleans hasn’t been able to create fear for the bomb.

Lions Find Their Bite

Detroit’s pro football betting record is 1-2 straight up, 1-2 against the spread, and 2-1 over the total.  Correlate their 26-23 win at the Cardinals as 4.5-point road chalks.  Detroit has NFL offensive metrics of 19th overall, 16th for passing, 22nd for rushing, 23rd for scoring, and sixth for turnovers.  Defensively the Lions rank 28th overall, 13th against the pass, 30th against the rush, 26th for points allowed, and 20th for takeaways.

New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions Against the Spread

As a football betting road favorite, the Saints are 11-4 against the spread.  While four of their last five as road chalks went over the total.  At the NFC North, the Saints are 9-1 on the board.  Seven of their last 11 games at NFC North opponents went over the total.

Detroit is 5-2 against the spread when hosting NFC South teams.  So too have nine of their last 11 home games with the NFC South gone over.  As home dogs, the Lions are 4-3 vs. the odds.  Five of their last six as home pups went over the total.

Head to head the Saints have paid in four of their last six with the Lions.  Three of the last five in this series went under the total.  Specifically, in Detroit, the Saints have covered three of their last four visits. Four of the last five in this series at Detroit went over the total.

New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions CashBet Free Pick  

As was previously noted the Lions show NFL gambling value as home dogs.  Owing to their recent slump have the Saints lost confidence.  Their Super Bowl window appears to be closing.

Saints at Lions CashBet Best Bet: 

Detroit Lions


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