Houston bragged a couple of years ago about firing 8-4 coaches. Thus, they hired Dana Holgorsen with great fanfare. It was a coup to woo away Holgorsen from a Power Five school. While at West Virginia Holgorsen was good. But nowhere near great. In his first year at Houston, Dirty Dana posted a College football betting record of 4-8. Houston didn’t say anything about firing 4-8 coaches. Baylor is coming off an 11-3 Sugar Bowl season. Coach Matt Rhule capitalized with a new deal in the NFL at Carolina. Former LSU defensive coordinator Dave Aranda takes over the Bears.
Houston Cougars vs. Baylor Bears Betting Information
Houston Cougars at Baylor Bears CashBet Wagering Analysis
On this occasion, Baylor will carry more sportsbook public cache. As a power five Big 12 team, the Bears have name brand recognition. Also fresh on the minds of gamblers is the strong Baylor 2019 season. Many casual gamblers aren’t even aware that Baylor changed coaches. To the masses, Houston is an unknown program. And those that pay attention can’t be impressed with such a poor 2019 campaign. Sharps may take a wait and see approach. Certainly, Baylor has a distinct quarterback advantage with Charlie Brewer. Which means laying the wood is not as unseemly as normal.
Dirty Dana Resets Cougs for 2020
Dana Holgorsen is a respected offensive mind. While at Oklahoma State he coordinated one of the most lethal offenses in the land. Last year was an undeniable disappointment. A Betting on college football bowl was expected. At the very least. And there is no guarantee that Houston makes a big 2020 leap. Junior quarterback Clayton Tune came off the bench in an emergency to play respectable. Most important of all he is surrounded by capable weapons. Tune was often left unprotected by an injury battered offensive line. Receiver Marquez Stevenson and running back Kyle Porter offer strong support.
Houston allowed over 34 points per game on defense in 2019. Holgorsen teams have never stressed defense. As a result, the Cougars took in a considerable amount of transfers. Everything that could go wrong did in Holgorsen’s first season. But the coach vows things will “get really good really quick.”
Aranda Era Begins in Baylor
Last year Dave Aranda was LSU defensive coordinator for a 15-0 national championship season. Aranda inherits a strong Baylor program that is a bet on NCAAF favorite to contend in the Big 12. Aranda, age 43, took the Baylor job because of what he believes is national championship potential. Overall, Charlie Brewer as 7742 career passing yards. He is in range to break Robert Griffin III’s records.
Houston Cougars vs. Baylor Bears Against the Spread
Houston has lost 12 of their last 19 to the line on the road. While eight of their last 11 away games went over. September away games have Houston 9-4 against the spread. Seven of their last 10 in that role went over. And then at Big 12 teams, Houston is 2-4 vs. the odds. Over the total paid in five of their last six at Big 12 opponents.
In like manner, Baylor has covered just six of their last 14 September home games. Six of their last 10 at McLane Stadium in September stayed under. Counter to that is Baylor’s 6-4 spread mark in all home games. Five of their last eight home tilts went under. Hosting AAC teams Baylor is 1-3 vs. the odds. Their last two against the AAC went under.
Houston Cougars at Baylor Bears CashBet Free Pick
In this situation, Houston should get some enhanced Betting on NCAAF value. Of great concern is how poor Big 12 teams did last week. So too will Houston be an improved team? And a team overdue for some luck.
Houston at Baylor CashBet Best Bet: Houston Cougars
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