UFC Fight Night 210 Betting: Boser vs. Nascimento Game Analysis, Odds and Best Picks (Saturday, September 17th, 2022)

Tanner Boser takes on Rodrigo Nascimento in a three-round heavyweight clash that is part of the UFC Fight Night 210 card slated on Saturday, September 17, at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. The main card will start at 7:00 PM ET and ESPN+ will air the fights on live stream. Both fighters will fight for the first time in 14 months, as Boser hopes to follow up on his win against Ovince St. Preux while Nascimento seeks to bounce back to the winning column after a loss and a no-contest. MMA betting experts see the fight going the full route with Nascimento taking home a close win.

Tanner Boser

Fighting in the 30th match of his career, Boser (20-8-1) seeks his first win in 14 months and 21st overall. The fighter known as “The Bulldozer” will aim to duplicate his knockout victory over Ovince St. Preux and boost his chances of fighting as a title contender in the 265-pound division. The Canadian is 4-3 in the UFC and three of his four victories ended via knockout. He fought the likes of former interim UFC heavyweight king Ciryl Gane, Ilir Latifi, and former heavyweight champion Andrei Arlovski Boser, however, will have his hands full against Nascimento, who is a known submission specialist that can also strike when needed.

Rodrigo Nascimento

Known in the MMA circles as “Yogi Bear,” Nascimento (8-1, 1 no contest) hopes to erase the stinging results in his last two UFC matches with a win against Boser. He started his UFC career with a second-round submission win over Don’Tale Mayes in March 2020 to go 8-0. However, he absorbed the first loss of his career when he was knocked out by Chris Daukaus. In his last fight in July 2020 against Alan Baudot, the referee stopped the contest and initially ruled a technical knockout win for the Brazilian. However, his victory was overturned after he tested positive for ritalinic acid. The match was ruled a no contest. Nascimento will rely on his mat skills and submission expertise to beat Boser and move up in the UFC heavyweight division rankings.

Tanner Boser vs. Rodrigo Nascimento Betting Numbers

	Boser	Nascimento
Record	20-8-1	9-1-0
Last Fight	Win	Win
Country	Canada	Brazil
Height	6’2″	6’2″
Weight	255	246
Reach	75	80
Win by KO/TKO	55%	25%
Submissions	10%	75%
Decisions	35%	0%
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.23	5.46
Striking Accuracy	51%	57%
Striking Absorbed Per Minute	2.16	6.14
Striking Defense	63%	38%
Takedown Average	0.00	1.71
Takedown Accuracy	0%	40%
Takedown Defense	70%	100%
Submission Average	0.0	1.7

Boser vs. Nascimento Summary

On paper, this is a classic striker vs. grappler matchup in the heavyweight division. However, both fighters are capable of delivering big hits and upstaging the rest of the card with an action-packed slobber-knocker. Boser needs to keep his vertical base to stand a chance against Nascimento, whose six of his eight wins were via the submission variety. On the other hand, the Brazilian must withstand the Canadian fighter’s strikes and tire him down with tieups and takedowns. Nascimento’s wrestling and jiu-jitsu will be his major weapon in his fight against Boser, who will rely on his kicks to beat his rival. UFC fight picks and parlays are raving for a Nascimento victory if the fight goes to the mat but Boser can overturn this if he keeps the fight away from the fence and the mat.