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Warriors Limp into Denver for TNT Matchup on Thursday

Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets CashBet Wagering Analysis

Last season the Warriors were far better than expected.  Golden State defied NBA betting expectations and made the playoffs.  As a result of that accomplishment, the Warriors became a hot ticket in the summer future’s market.  And after a hot start, gamblers believed that a return to championship glory beckoned.  However, the marathon season is taking its toll on Golden State.  The Warriors’ lack of depth is being exposed for all to see.  Stephen Curry is a superstar, but he is not a superman.  Curry is not getting enough support from the rest of his team to prevent the brutal schedule from rolling the Warriors.

Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets Betting Information

Date: Thursday, March 10, 2022
Time: 10:00 pm ET
Location: Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado
TV Coverage: TNT

Warriors vs. Nuggets Betting Odds

Warriors -1½ ( -110 ) 229 ( -110 ) -125
Nuggets +1½ ( -110 ) 229 ( -110 ) +105
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Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets CashBet Wagering Analysis

In this situation, there will be plenty of national attention focused on this top online sportsbook matchup.  Despite Golden State’s recent struggles, they remain a top team in the eyes of the public.  Denver is also respected, but the Warriors’ past championship cache and Stephen Curry draw more casual money than the Nuggets.  Oddsmakers know this and make a concerted effort to keep the betting activity even.  Thus, Denver will get enhanced prices.

Warriors Looking for Value as Public Runs for the Hills

Late on, Golden State has covered only one of its last ten games.  In comparison, one of the Warriors’ most recent nine games went under the betting on NBA total.  Now Golden State stands at 43-21 straight up, 30-30-4 against the spread, and 28-34 over/under.  Golden State has NBA metrics of 10th for scoring offense, 8th for offensive rebounding, 5th for points allowed, 4th for defensive rebounding.

Namely, Stephen Curry leads the Warriors with 25.8 points and 6.4 assists per game.  Curry has to carry the Golden State offense.  As a result, both Curry and his team are feeling the strain.

Recent Nuggets of Gold for Denver

Consider that Denver has covered five of its most recent seven games.  And then one of its last five games went over the pro basketball betting total.  Now Denver is 38-26 straight up, 30-33-1 against the spread, and 33-29 over/under.  Overall, the Nuggets have NBA metrics of 11th for scoring offense, 20th for offensive rebounding, 12th for points allowed, 5th for defensive rebounding.

Correlate that Nikola Jokic leads Denver with 25.8 points, 13.8 rebounds, and 8.0 assists per contest.  Jokic is one of the NBA’s truly transformative players.  Since the 2020 NBA Playoffs, Jokic has changed the perception of the Denver team with gamblers.

Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets Against the Spread

On the road, Golden State 44% is against the spread.  As a dog, Golden State is 50% vs. the line.  While in conference games, the Warriors are 44% on the board.  On the road, Golden State is 51% under the total.  Specifically, Golden State is 67% over the total as a dog.  In conference games, the Warriors are 53% under the number.

At home, Denver is 43% against the spread.  And then, as a favorite, Denver is 46% vs. the line.  In conference games, the Nuggets are 43% on the board.  Also, at home, Denver is 58% over the total.  As a favorite, the Nuggets are 50% vs. the number.  In conference games, the Nuggets are 51% over the total.

Head-to-Head Golden State is 7-3 against Denver vs. the spread.  In comparison, the Warriors and Nuggets are 3-9 under the total in their series.  At Denver, the Warriors are 2-3 vs. the number.  Also, this series is 1-4 under the basketball betting total at Denver.

Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets CashBet Free Pick  

As mentioned earlier, the Nuggets show profitable NBA gambling value when hosting the Warriors.  Golden State is in poor recent form.

Warriors at Nuggets CashBet Best Bet: 

Denver Nuggets


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