- Posted by Nick Brown
Last year the Bucks were upset by the Heat in the 2020 NBA Playoffs. It was a stunning debacle for the NBA championship favorites. Racial unrest back home and a lack of support for Giannis Antetokounmpo combined to put the Bucks in peril. And then the Heat proved to be opportunistic opponents. Distracted Milwaukee cost a lot of NBA betting participants a ton of cash. Since that debacle, the Bucks haven’t been the same. Milwaukee remains quite good, but their dominance and value disappeared. But the playoffs bring the ultimate redemption opportunity. Miami faces a revenge-minded opponent.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat – Game 3 Betting Information
Date: | Thursday, May 27, 2021 |
Time: | 7:30 p.m. ET |
Location: | American Airlines Arena, Miami, Florida |
TV Coverage: | TNT |
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat Betting Odds
Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Bucks | -1½ ( -110 ) | 226½ ( -110 ) | -123 | Place Bets |
Heat | +1½ ( -110 ) | 226½ ( -110 ) | +103 | |
Place Bets |
Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat CashBet Wagering Analysis
On the whole, most of the Bitcoin sportsbook action is flowing to the Heat. Casual gamblers remain feeling burned by the Bucks. Not just for last year but this season too. However, the Heat was hardly reliable against the oddsmakers in 2020-21. But squares gravitate to the comfort of home teams when in doubt. Wise Guys know that the masses will avoid Milwaukee. Thus, the Bucks will offer better than expected value. Milwaukee’s revenge and redemption motivation are real. It could become the fuel for a deep playoff run and profits.
Can the Greek Freak the Heat?
Late on, Milwaukee failed to cover seven of their previous eight games. Five of those eight games went over the total. Milwaukee’s regular-season betting on NBA record was 46-26 straight up, 32-40 against the spread, and 41-30 over the total. Overall, the Bucks have NBA metrics of 1st for scoring offense but 22nd for points allowed.
Naturally, the man that makes Bucks for Milwaukee is forward Giannis Antetokounmpo. Consider that the Greek Freak averaged 28.1 points, 11.0 rebounds, and 5.9 assists per contest. And then forward Khris Middleton adds 20.4 points and 6.0 rebounds per contest.
Miami Heat Team Overview
Miami has gotten the cash in five of their previous six pro basketball betting matchups. Three of their last four went under the total. On the whole, Miami had a regular-season record of 40-33 straight up, 35-36-2 vs. the odds, and 38-35 over the total. NBA metrics show the Heat 25th for scoring offense and 5th for points allowed.
Forward Jimmy Butler led the Heat with 21.5 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 6.1 assists per contest. While center Ben Adebayo added 18.7 points and 9.0 rebounds per game. Last year at the Orlando Bubble, Adebayo arrived as a highly valued big man for Miami. He made the difference in their Eastern Conference title run.
Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat Against the Spread
Milwaukee covered only 44% of all games in 2020-21. While on the road, the Bucks were only 38% vs. the odds. Over the total paid in 57% of all Bucks games this season. And then Milwaukee is 54% over the total in away games
To show, Miami has covered only 44% of their home games. The Heat cleared the total in 55% of their home court matchups. Also, Miami is 56% over the total in Eastern Conference games Head-to-head, Miami is 8-4 against the basketball betting odds vs. Milwaukee. Further, four of the previous five between the Heat and Bucks stayed under the total. Miami covered two of their last three home games vs. the Bucks. In like manner, five of the previous six in this series at Miami stayed under the total.
Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat CashBet Free Pick
In this situation, the Bucks will get a favorable NBA gambling price. Cause by the masses avoiding them on the road. Also, gamblers remember how Miami took out Milwaukee last season. As mentioned earlier, the Heat were weak values at home. Miami is likely overpriced here.
Bucks at Heat CashBet Best Bet:
Milwaukee Bucks
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