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New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Betting MLB Odds, Picks and Predictions 05/11/21

New York Yankees 2020 MLB Team Betting Preview

Tampa Bay continues to confound the skeptics.  With one of the lowest payrolls in the game, the Rays find a way.  In fact, Tampa Bay is the defending American League champion.  And is likely to be in the thick of the race in their repeat bid.   On the whole, Tampa Bay is a team that is greater than the sum of its parts.  Every year they exceed expectations with the MLB betting odds.  No team in baseball could be more opposite than the Yankees.  They own the biggest payroll in the American League.

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Betting Information

Date: Tuesday, May 11, 2021
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Location: Tropicana Field, Tampa, Florida
TV Coverage: ESPN

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Betting Odds

Yankees -1½ (+125) 8 (-115) -127
Rays +1½ (-145) 8 (-105) +117
Place Bets

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays CashBet Wagering Analysis

On this occasion, the Yankees will get the majority of sportsbook action.  Casual gamblers have never warmed up to the Rays.  Their lack of payroll and big-name talent remains a mental block for the masses.  Squares simply can’t get past that and respect the greater metrics.  New York is the most public team in the American League.  By reason of that comes far higher prices than most other teams.  New York must win at a far greater clip than the Rays to make a profit.  Tampa Bay can’t match the Yankees for tradition or public status.

Yankees Finding Their Way

Late on, New York won six of their most recent eight betting on baseball matchups.  Only one of their last five games stayed under the total.  The Yankees are 17-16 straight up, 15-18 vs. the run line, and 13-19-1 under the number.  Overall, the Yankees rank 22nd for run production and 5th for staff earned run average.

Namely, Jordan Montgomery is the probable starter for the Yankees.  Montgomery is 1-1 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.13 WHIP.  New York won four of his most recent six starts.  While star reliever Aroldis Chapman has seven saves in seven chances. Chapman is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA with 28 strikeouts in 12 innings.  Giancarlo Stanton has clobbered nine home runs.  And then Aaron Judger has seven homers.

Rays of Hope

Late on, the Rays won five of their most recent seven games with the MLB betting lines.  Five of those seven games cleared the total.  Tampa Bay is 18-17 straight up, 19-16 vs. the run line, and 20-15 over the total.  MLB metrics show the Rays 15th for run production and 11th for staff earned run average.

In turn, Ryan Yarbrough is the probable starter for the Rays.  Yarbrough is 2-3 with a 4.58 ERA and 1.339 WHIP.  Tampa Bay won three of his most recent four starts.  Counter to that is a bullpen that hasn’t produced a reliable closer.

Each year fans and gamblers wonder if “this is the year” for Tampa Bay.  They expect the Rays to slip back to the pack finally.  It follows that the metrics-driven Rays methods continue to defy gravity.

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Against the Spread

New York is 5-3 in their most recent eight-away games.  While six of the Yankees’ last seven road tilts stayed under the total.  By contrast, Tampa Bay paid in only four of its most recent 13 home games.  Seven of the Rays previous nine home tilts stayed under the total Head-to-head, Tampa Bay is 8-2 in their ten most recent baseball betting matchups with the Yankees.  Seven of the last 11 between the Rays and Yankees cleared the total.  Additionally, Tampa Bay is 11-3 when hosting the Yankees at Tropicana Field.  The Yankees and Rays are 6-3 over the total at Tampa Bay.

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays CashBet Free Pick  

In this situation, the Yankees are starting to perk up.  New York has vastly more material in this matchup.  And as the road team, they will get the MLB gambling price break.

Yankees at Rays CashBet Best Bet: 

New York Yankees


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