Mets Heavy Sunday Night Favorites to Phillies Sunday Night on ESPN 

Philadelphia is coming off two consecutive seasons of being close but with no playoff cigar.  Namely, Joe Girardi was expected to be the man to push the Phillies to the Promised Land.  The former Yankee manager has made marginal improvements.  But Girardi has learned the hard way what it is like to compete with then MLB betting odds shorthanded.  Philadelphia is a good revenue-producing team.  However, it is not a mega-market money printer like the Yankees were.  On Sunday night, the Phillies will meet the Mets.  New York is the hottest brand going.  And a prohibitive favorite.

CashBet Wagering Analysis – How Gamblers See Phillies vs. Mets

Any analysis of the Mets comes in two parts.  New York is a perpetual Top online sportsbook favorite of the masses.  Cause by the Mets being in a large media center market with a fan base dating back three generations.  Many Mets fans were raised by fathers and grandfathers alive for the halcyon days of 1969, 1973, and 1986.  Those were magical times that set the course for the Mets Mania culture.  However, this factor has long contributed to overlay prices on the board.

Today the Mets are the hottest team on the betting on baseball board.  As a result, New York is an already expensive team that is increasing in price.  Wise Guys see this phenomenon and turn away.  Certainly, sharps appreciate the Mets’ strong start.  Offsetting the enthusiasm is the knowledge that New York can’t sustain this success rate over the 162-game schedule.  Counter to that is the fact that a cooling-off period is eventually coming on the board for New York.  It is just a matter of when.

Mets are a Quality Club

Or course, the Mets are a quality club.  Nobody disputes that.  But New York is at a win percentage that no team has come close to hitting after 162 games.  Also, having ace starter Jacob deGrom sidelined with an injury will wear down the rest of the pitching staff.

To be exact, the Phillies have been one of the most frustrating teams on the board with the MLB betting lines.  When Philadelphia backed up the truck for Bryce Harper a couple of years ago, it was seen as a declaration of war.  And Harper has done his part to become an asset for the Phillies.  It follows that the problem is a Philadelphia team with a weak supporting cast.  As we learned in the 2021 season, Harper can’t do it alone.  And manager Joe Girardi is not as “smart” without the Yankees’ massive payroll.

That being said, Wise Guys believe that the Phillies are underperforming.  Sharps see enhanced baseball betting value on the Phillies for the foreseeable future.

Phillies and Mets by the Angles

Since 2021, Philadelphia has gone over the total in 56% of their games as road dogs.  The Mets are just 40% vs. the odds in home games in that same span.  Additionally, the Mets have paid in only 42% of their division matchups.  Late on, the Phillies have gotten the cash in seven of their last ten games against New York.  Only three of the previous 13 games in this series have gone over the total.

Phillies that Can Make the Difference

Philadelphia is not a helpless team here.  In fact, they bring assets that can get the cash at this huge price.  Righty Zach Eflin is the probable Philadelphia starter.  So far this season, Eflin has a 3.20 earned run average and WHIP of 1.21.  Additionally, left fielder Kyle Schwarber is off to an impressive start.  Schwarber has produced ten runs, three doubles, four home runs, and 11 runs batted in.  Additional help comes from sluggers Nick Castellanos and Bryce Harper.

Phillies at Mets CashBet Best Bet

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