Cincinnati Hosts SMU in AAC Clash of the Year!

At the onset of the season, Cincinnati and SMU were the two top College football betting picks in the American Athletic Conference.  And that is basically how it’s turned out with the addition of Houston.  This week the Bearcats will host the Mustangs in the most highly anticipated AAC game in years.  Cincinnati is facing the stark reality of not being wanted by the College Football Playoff Committee.  Specifically, the CFP wants to keep the Bearcats outside the top four by any means necessary.  But UC hasn’t done itself favors with close calls against bad teams.

SMU Mustangs at Cincinnati Bearcats CashBet Odds Analysis

On the whole, this is a classic square vs. sharps top online sportsbook matchup at the betting window.  Casual money will flow to the power home favorite Cincinnati.  And then Wise Guys love nothing more than a quality road dog.

SMU Looks to Pony Up at UC

Last week SMU blew out Central Florida 55-28 as 7-point home favorites.  The game went over the Betting on college football total of 62.  As a result, the Mustangs are 8-2 straight up, 6-4 against the spread, and 5-5 over/under.  Overall, SMU ranks 6^th for total offense and 6^th for scoring offense.  Defensively, the Mustangs rank 85^th overall and 64^th for points allowed.

Tanner Mordecai threw for 377 yards and three touchdowns. In comparison, Tre Siggers ran for three scores.  The Mustangs scored 31 straight points to take a 38-14 advantage at intermission. Ulysses Bentley IV gained 97 yards on 14 carries for the Mustangs.  Additionally, Siggers added 93 on 11 carries as SMU gained 241 yards on the ground. Dylan Goffney caught ten passes for 88 yards.

Bearcats Face Most Dangerous Opponent

Last week, Cincinnati beat South Florida 45-28 as a 24.5-point road overlay.  The Bearcats and Bulls game went over the bet on NCAAF total of 58.5.  Cincinnati has a record of 10-0 straight up, 5-5 against the spread, and 5-5 over/under.  Overall, the Bearcats rank 58^th for total offense and 9^th for scoring offense.  While defensively, UC ranks 12^th overall and 6^th for points allowed.

Namely, Desmon Ridder broke the UC career record for TD passes by throwing two against USF.  Ridder broke the school record with this 79th touchdown pass, a 21-yard strike to Josh Whyle early in the third that made it 31-7. Gino Guidugli, now Cincinnati’s quarterbacks’ coach and passing game coordinator, had 78 scoring passes from 2001-04.  In sum, Ridder completed 31 of 39 passes for 304 yards.  Also, he ran for 65 yards on 13 carries. He brought the record-breaking ball to his postgame media session.

SMU Mustangs at Cincinnati Bearcats Against the Spread

On the road, SMU is 41% against the spread.  While as an underdog, the Mustangs are 80% vs. the odds.  In conference action, SMU is 45% against the spread.

As an away team, SMU is 80% over the total.  Overall, as an underdog, the Mustangs are 75% over the total.  And in conference games, SMU is 71% over the total.

At home, Cincinnati is 61% against the spread.  While as a favorite, the Bearcats are 55% vs. the odds.  In conference action, UC is 52% against the spread.

As a home team, Cincinnati is 61% under the total.  Overall, as a favorite, the Bearcats are 55% under the total.  And in conference games, UC is 61% under the total.

SMU is 2-3 against the spread vs. Cincinnati.  Also, the Mustangs and Bearcats are 0-5 over/under the total.  Specifically, at Cincinnati, SMU is 1-1 vs. the odds against the Bearcats.  Further, these two teams are 0-2 over/under the total at Nippert Stadium.

SMU Mustangs at Cincinnati Bearcats CashBet Free Pick  

As mentioned earlier, Cincinnati is a solid Betting on NCAAF value at home.  Counter to that is an SMU team in the red on the road.

SMU at Cincinnati CashBet Best Bet: 

Cincinnati Bearcats