Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns Betting Preview Updated Odds and Analysis (October 24)

When Texas hired Tom Herman, it was universally acclaimed as a perfect match.  Herman was touted as one of the bright young masterminds in College football betting.  And then making the Big 12 championship game in his second season added to the hype.  As did a Sugar Bowl win over Georgia in his third season.  But last year’s 8-5 record was a buzz kill.  Following was a 2-2 start to 2020.  Now Herman is on the hot seat.  Further complicating matters is Herman’s lack of program control.  Donors see his players distracted by social justice causes.

Baylor Bears at Texas Longhorns CashBet Wagering Analysis

Sharps will look hard at the inviting Online sportsbook price on Baylor.  While Texas still remains a popular team with squares.

Bears Come Out of COVID Hibernation Break

Due to COVID-19 Baylor last played on October 3.  That was a loss at West Virginia 27-21 as 1-point road chalks.  So too did under the total of 54 cash in.  Baylor has a Betting on college football record of 1-1 both straight up and against the spread.  The Bears are 0-1-1 under the total.  National metrics have the Bears ranked 25^th for scoring offense and 17^th for points allowed.

Texas Hooked by Herman

Texas has had two weeks to cope with their four-overtime 53-45 loss to the Oklahoma Sooners.  Specifically, they were 3-point dogs in that Red River Shootout.  Also, did the game go over the total of 74.5.  Texas is now 2-2 straight up, 1-3 against the spread with 4-0 over the total.  Nationally the Longhorns offense ranks first for scoring.  Counter to that is a defense 64^th for points allowed.

It has been a frustrating senior season for quarterback Sam Ehlinger.  It follows that he is literally trying to carry Texas on his own shoulders.  Against Oklahoma, Ehlinger passed for 287 yards and two touchdowns.  And Ehlinger rushed for 112 yards and four more TD’s.  Previously Ehlinger single-handedly led a miraculous comeback over Texas Tech.  Looking back, it was a warning sign about Texas.  Correspondingly the Longhorns are outed as pretenders to the throne.

Baylor Bears at Texas Longhorns Against the Spread

Baylor has paid in 14 of their last 21 Big 12 bet on NCAAF matchups.  On the road, the Bears are 6-4-1 on the board.  Overall Baylor is 16-12-1 vs. the line in all games.  On the road, Baylor is 6-5 over the total.  In the regular season, the Bears have gone over in just 12 of their last 27 games.  In Big 12 games, Baylor is 7-13-1 under the total.  And then after a loss, Baylor has gone under in six of their last eight games.

Texas has covered in just 14 of their last 31 games.  At home, the Longhorns have paid in just six of their last 14 matchups.  So too when coming off a loss Texas is 4-5-1 vs. the odds.  In Big 12 Conference matchups the Horns are 8-13-1 on the board.  Following a loss, Texas is 6-4 over the total.  UT is 17-12 over the total in regular-season action.  At DKR Texas Memorial Stadium the Longhorns are 8-6 over the total.

Head to head Baylor has covered the spread in nine of their last 13 games against Texas.  The last seven meetings in his rivalry have gone under the total.  Likewise, at DKR Texas Memorial Stadium the Bears have come away with the cash in five of their last six visits.  Four of the last five games between these teams at Texas went under.

Baylor Bears at Texas Longhorns CashBet Free Pick  

As mentioned earlier Baylor gets the Betting on NCAAF cash against Texas.   Accordingly, there is no reason to see that changing.

Bears at Longhorns CashBet Best Bet:

Baylor Bears