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UFC on ESPN 40 Betting: Usman vs. Pauga Predictions, Game Analysis and Odds (Saturday, August 6th, 2022)

Mohammed Usman vs. Zac Pauga

Up-and-coming heavyweights Mohammed Usman and Zac Pauga square off in the final of The Ultimate Fighter 30 at the UFC on ESPN 40 fight card on Saturday, August 6, at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. The match is part of an eventful fight card, headlined by a light heavyweight clash between Thiago Santos and Jamahal Hill. ESPN Pay-Per-View will broadcast the fight on television, and UFC Fight Pass will feature the clash on livestream.

Usman wants to move out of the shadow of his more accomplished brother, UFC welterweight champion Kamaru and winning the TUF not only duplicates the achievement of his older sibling but it also puts him as one of the contenders in the 265-pound class. On the other hand, Pauga wants to keep his unbeaten streak intact as he seeks to prove to the critics that his climb from light heavyweight was the right move. UFC fight odds slightly favor Pauga to emerge victorious over Usman due to his more impressive endings in the TUF tournament. However, Usman has the skills to beat Pauga and upset betting experts.

UFC on ESPN 40: Mohammed Usman vs. Zac Pauga Betting Information

Date: Saturday, August 6, 2022
Time: 10:00 PM ET
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
TV Coverage: Pay Per View

UFC on ESPN 40: Mohammed Usman vs. Zac Pauga Odds

Fighter ML
Mohammed Usman +190
Zac Pauga -225
Place Bets

Mohammed Usman

Mohammed Usman (7-2-0 win-loss-draw) has a chip on his shoulder by being the brother of UFC welterweight champion Kamaru Usman. Before entering the TUF house, Usman is coming off a submission loss to Brandon Sayles. Usman made his way to the TUF finale by gaining decision victories over Eduardo Perez and Mitchell Sipe. The 33-year-old wants to prove he is a real deal with a victory over Zac Pauga and barge into the heavyweight contender rankings with a bang like his older brother, who won the TUF 21.

Zac Pauga

Unbeaten Zac Pauga (5-0-0) wants to keep his unbeaten streak intact with a win against Usman in the finale. Pauga had a more impressive showing in the TUF House compared to Usman. He outplayed Nyle Barting en route to a unanimous decision and stopped Jordan Heiderman in just two rounds in the semifinals. Pauga has not lost even in his amateur days, so it will be a burden for him to keep his unbeaten run in order. The win against Usman would cement the 34-year-old’s status in the heavyweight division as a bright prospect.

Mohammed Usman vs. Zac Pauga Betting Numbers

Usman Pauga
Record 8-2-0 6-0-0
Last Fight
Country Nigeria USA
Height 6’2″ 6’2″
Weight 239 lbs 225 lbs
Reach 79″ 76″
Win by KO/TKO 43% 20%
Submissions 29% 0%
Decisions 29% 80%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 0.00 0.00
Striking Accuracy 0% 0%
Striking Absorbed Per Minute 0.00 0.00
Striking Defense 0% 0%
Takedown Average 0.00 0.00
Takedown Accuracy 0% 0%
Takedown Defense 0% 0%
Submission Average 0.0 0.0

Usman vs. Pauga Summary

TUF finalists Pauga and Usman are expected to slug it out in this three-round bout with the UFC contract on the line. Online betting odds favor Pauga to win the encounter against Usman due to his better finishing skills in the TUF house. But do not sleep on Usman due to his championship pedigree and his skills that can surprise everyone. Pauga and Usman will battle in a tough fight for the full-time contract. Expect a close showdown in TUF 30 heavyweight finale, with Pauga emerging victorious over Usman via unanimous decision.


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