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Baylor Faces Dangerous Air Force in Armed Forces Bowl Betting

2022 Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl Betting: Air Force Falcons vs. Baylor Bears Odds

Squares usually look past the Air Force Falcons.  But NCAAF bets Wise Guys appreciate the Fly Boys for their consistent board value.  Coach Troy Calhoun puts Air Force into bowl games most years.  And the 2022 campaign was a good one for the Fly Boys.  By contrast, Baylor regressed this year.  Including on defense, which was once their strength.  And one of the great challenges for any program is the potent Air Force option attack.  Baylor coach Dave Aranda is facing the prospect of getting run over.  And going home with a losing record. 

Air Force Falcons vs. Baylor Bears Information

Date: Thursday, December 22, 2022
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Location: Amon G Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas
TV Coverage: ESPN

Air Force Falcons vs. Baylor Bears Betting Odds

Air +7 ( -115 ) 49½ ( -110 ) +225
Baylor -7 ( -105 ) 49½ ( -110 ) -265
Place Bets

Air Force vs. Baylor CashBet Wagering Analysis

At the beginning, casuals will gravitate to Baylor as the bigger brand from the Power Five Big 12 Conference.  Wise Guys will look hard at Air Forced based on the combination of being a good team that the best Sportsbook online masses ignore.

Air Force Flying High With Strong Season  

Last game, the Air Force Falcons won 13-3 against the San Diego State Aztecs as 2.5-point road favorites.  The game went under the total of 43.  Air Force has a record of 9-3 straight up, 6-6 against the spread, and 5-7 over/under the total.  Air Force ranks 57th for total offense, 131st for passing, 1st for rushing, and 73rd for scoring.  Defensively they rank 1st overall, 1st against the pass, 8th against the rush, and 3rd for points allowed.  Also, Air Force ranks 118th for fewest turnovers lost and 80th for takeaways.

Namely, Brad Roberts ran for 187 yards and a touchdown.  And Air Force had a pair of interceptions late in the game to beat San Diego State for its fourth straight win.  Roberts had 127 yards rushing in the first half.  And his 2-yard touchdown run was the only Betting on College Football score in the first half.  Matthew Dapore made field goals from 30 and 32 yards for Air Force

Air Force got a big play when Jayden Goodwin picked off a Jalen Mayden pass in the end zone with 3:36 remaining.  Subsequently, San Diego State then forced a three-and-out.  But Trey Taylor stepped in front of an Aztec receiver in the end zone for an interception with 1:40 left in the game.  In sum, Air Force gained 271 of its 285 yards of offense on the ground, and Haaziq Daniels threw just two passes.

Bear Market for Baylor in Disappointing 2022 Hibernation

Last game, the Baylor Bears lost 38-27 against the Texas Longhorns as 10-point road dogs.  The game went over the total of 56.  Baylor has a record of 6-6 straight up, 7-5 against the spread, and 8-4 over/under the total.  Baylor ranks 37th for total offense, 60th for passing, 32nd for rushing, and 33rd for scoring.  Defensively they rank 62nd overall, 83rd against the pass, 45th against the rush, and 67th for points allowed.  Also, Baylor ranks 51st for fewest turnovers lost and 33rd for takeaways.

In the summer of 2022, the Baylor Bears were a hot bet on NCAAF ticket on the future market.  Specifically for the Big 12 championship and a spot in the College Football Playoff.  Additionally, coach Dave Aranda was one of the hottest brands in the future market.  As soon as schools began firing coaches, Aranda was at the top of the list as the replacement.

But as the season progressed, Baylor was exposed as a team that was nowhere near the class of its 2021 Big 12 championship team.  Baylor ended up as an also-ran in the Big 12 Conference, far behind the top contenders.  And Aranda lost a good deal of shine from his coaching brand.

Air Force vs. Baylor CashBet Free Pick  

In this situation, Air Force is dangerous and capable of betting on NCAAF underdog.

Air Force vs. Baylor CashBet Best Bet

Air Force Falcons


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